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Zoom out: What is the situation with COVID-19 in the Boise-area and Idaho, now?

We like to bring you a periodic look at the state of COVID-19 in Idaho – and more specifically in the Boise metro area.

These ‘zoom out’ looks, help reset and look at where things stand with the pandemic right now.

The bottom line: the number of new reported cases has increased in recent days. But the number of people who have died remains at a lower rate than in April, and hospital resources remain plentiful.

  • New cases: Yesterday, health districts covering the Boise metro area reported a total of 66 people with a case of COVID-19. That’s the third-highest single day on record according to NY Times data.
    • Statewide, health districts reported 96 cases, the highest number since April 11.
  • Deaths: The last person reported to die from COVID-19 in the Boise metro area lost their life on May 19th – one full month ago, according to data compiled by the NY Times.
    • Statewide, 16 people have died in the last month, according to NYT data.
  • Hospitalization: Statewide, the number of people visiting the ER with COVID-like symptoms sits at its lowest level for the month of June since the pandemic began impacting Idaho. An average of 10.11 people made ER visits with COVID-like symptoms in June. In May, the average was 10.16 per day, while in April the number hit 21.73 and in March stood at 48.7 per day.
  • Rate of cases: Since the beginning of the pandemic, the overall rate of cases in Ada County is 221.9 per 100,000 people. Said another way, that would mean for every 1,000 people, an average of 2.2 people in Ada County would have contract COVID. In Canyon County, the rate is lower at 168.2 per 100,000 (or 1.68 per 1,000).
  • Testing rate: The number of tests administered continues to rise with more availability. The number of those tests that turned up positive has declined each of the past four weeks. The statewide latest data, through June 13th, shows 6,794 tests were completed statewide, and 2.3% of those cases turned out positive for COVID-19. We don’t have data for this week.

The bottom line: Since the pandemic began, 3,743 Idahoans contracted COVID-19, or about 209 for every 100,000. Eighty-nine people have died, or about 5 in every 100,000.

Now, to look at updated projection models. The University of Washington’s COVID-19 model, which we’ve written about before, continues to update with new data and information.

  • While the UW’s input data is a few days behind, it continues to show a very slightly rising number of deaths. By October 1, the model shows the death toll could rise to 106 – an increase of 17 deaths from the current total of 89.
  • For hospital resource utilization, the UW model shows Idaho well within its capacity for both overall hospital beds, ICU beds, and ventilators.
Don Day - BoiseDev Editor
Don is the founder and publisher of BoiseDev. He is a National Edward R. Murrow Award winner and a Stanford University John S. Knight Fellow. Contact him at don@boisedev.com.

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